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Wednesday, September 29, 2010

More on the neo-liberal agenda

One of the truisms of neo-classical economics is that tax cuts for those already wealthy and powerful will “trickle down” to the middle and lower class. In other words, making rich people richer will eventually make everyone richer.

One of the most popular versions of this theory is the corporate income tax cut, which supposedly induces corporations to invest in machinery and its labour force, and thereby boost its productivity for the benefit of all. Admonitions abound that “[b]usiness taxes have a substantial impact on economic growth and productivity in terms of foregone revenue”. Thus, in 2000, the C.D. Howe Institute grudgingly approved the federal Liberal plans to decrease the “general federal corporate income tax from 28 percent to 21 percent over five years”, but noted that it wasn’t enough: “[T]he reforms are neither significant enough nor are they to be implemented quickly enough to make Canada’s business tax system truly competitive with the systems in many other industrialized countries or to create significantly better conditions for investment in Canada.”

The general rate is now 19%, with calls aplenty for further reductions of both federal and provincial corporate taxes. The problem, however, is that 10 years later and with the federal corporate tax rate cut by a third, Canadian productivity hasn’t improved. According to a June 3, 2010, report from that paragon of Bay Street, TD Bank,

the alarming reality is that labour productivity growth in Canada’s business sector has been in structural decline since the 1970s. Even more concerning is that since 2000, labour productivity growth has slowed to a crawl. The scope of this trend has not been mirrored by other developed countries, and it is taking a toll on Canada’s international economic clout. Between 1990 and 2008, Canada’s GDP per capita slipped from 5th to 11th among OECD countries.

The report clearly lays the blame on Canadian companies, which are “failing to innovate and find better ways to employ their existing resources”. The situation puzzles the report’s authors, since “taxation policy has become dramatically more favourable towards capital investment”. In the end, the TD report admits it doesn’t have all the answers. Indeed, the “answers to many of the questions surrounding Canada’s productivity woes are awaiting discovery, but an aggressive and substantial research effort will be necessary to uncover them”.

So the self-serving truism isn’t true at all. Corporate income tax cuts may serve to amplify corporate profits and shareholder dividends, boost mergers and acquisitions, and increase CEO bonuses. But they don’t improve productivity and competition, and they don’t improve employment in the “goods-producing sectors” that should benefit most from productive investments.

Of course, what corporate tax cuts do is reduce the contributions of the business sector to government coffers, and increase the revenue burden on working-class and middle-class citizens. And this is the core of the neo-liberal agenda: attack progressive taxation, and redistribute the burden of taxation from the wealthy to the middle and lower classes. If you're good at it, you'll convince the hoi polloi that it's good for them - wealth will trickle down, after all - or you get them to willingly accept a much smaller government - I'm happier accepting less because that's what makes the wealthy happy.

One of the most blatant examples of that is right here in BC. In the September update for the 2009 budget, the provincial Liberals bragged about the following:

In 2008, the small business corporate income tax rate was reduced from 4.5 per cent to 2.5 per cent — a reduction of 44 per cent. The government intends to reduce the rate to zero by April 1, 2012. B.C.’s general corporate income tax rate has been reduced from 16.5 per cent to 11 per cent, with further reductions to 10.5 per cent planned for 2010 and to 10 per cent in 2011.

So how do we pay for this reduction in revenue? One way is to institute an HST tax that eliminates "retail sales taxes on business inputs and capital goods such as machinery and equipment, and reduce[s] the rate of taxation on new investment". Doing this redistributes the sales tax burden from the business sector to the consumer sector. (For more, see my September 2nd discussion of BC's HST below.) Another way is to increase user-pay fees... even more. Instead of spreading the costs of certain social services across the tax-base and across time, the user is expected to pay more and more and up-front for specific services. For example, in another document from the same budget update, we see an inevitable but rather shocking result – in 2011/2012, the BC government is expecting to receive more revenue from post-secondary tuition than from corporate income tax. According to government revenue projections, BC corporate income tax revenue will be $1,038,000,000 while post-secondary education fees will earn the BC government $1,114,000,000 (see p. 144).

Thus, on behalf of benefits that don’t exist, more people will be forced into larger and larger debt loads, or will forego user-pay services - like university - altogether. Politics is about choice, and it’s clear what choice our current provincial government has made.

Posted by Colin Welch at 5:08 PM
Edited on: Wednesday, September 29, 2010 7:18 PM
Categories: BC Politics, Canadian Politics, The Economy

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Bill Maher recaps the summer


Bill Maher has returned to work after the summer hiatus, and offers this stinging recap of the past three months in American politics:

Posted by Colin Welch at 1:17 PM
Edited on: Saturday, September 18, 2010 1:21 PM
Categories: American Politics, Modern Culture, The Economy

Saturday, September 11, 2010

The BC Liberals Get Even

Sometimes it's difficult to avoid cynicism about the bloodsport known as politics:

http://thetyee.ca/News/2010/09/10/AxeFallsOnOfficer/

Posted by Colin Welch at 10:45 AM
Edited on: Saturday, September 11, 2010 10:48 AM
Categories:

Thursday, September 02, 2010

The HST Debacle

In todays' Vancouver Sun, Vaughn Palmer offers a devastating critique of the BC Liberal's handling of the HST. Palmer highlights the key revelations of new government documents from a FOI request regarding the HST. Palmer explains that senior government officials were discussing the HST well before the last election of May 12, 2009. He concludes that, "Far from the HST being off their radar screen, as Premier Gordon Campbell and Finance Minister Colin Hansen have claimed, virtually every aspect of the subsequent tax regime had already been sketched out in the briefing notes well before voting day."

In January and March memos, these officials were discussing the HST process in Ontario, and examining it in relation to British Columbia. They concluded that the HST would have, in the short run, a negative impact on BC's economy, but that federal transition funding and flexibility regarding exemptions were available if BC met the federal government's July 1st deadline. All of this Colin Hansen would have known before the election, assuming he had read his memos - and assuming that no senior official would undertake serious analysis without permission or an initiative from his or her minister.

What is truly heartbreaking about this debacle is that one of the most important predictions from senior staff did not come true. As Palmer recounts, staff were worried about "consumer outrage" over the shifting of the tax burden within the HST. Yet this has not happened. The outrage we hear from Vander Zalm's group and from the media is that the government lied to us during the election campaign. Or, we hear about the tax increases on certain goods and services (like restaurant bills) that were previously PST exempt. Both of these are valid points, but they miss the biggest problem of the HST. According to Palmer's summary, the business sector would "get a huge break on taxes... as its share of the sales taxes dropped from the current 48 per cent to 11 per cent. The bite on consumers would soar from 48 per cent to 87 per cent, a tax grab of about $2 billion every year."

Unfortunately, this explicit act of trickle-down economics has barely registered on popular consciousness. We are so overwhelmed by the "more taxes are bad" message that we forget that taxes are here to stay, so the biggest issue should be who pays the bills and in what percentage. And, by getting the middle class to swallow the issue of general tax rates, and not tax shifting, the elites are able to reduce their taxes without "consumer outrage". Indeed, the business community can even overtly block the anti-HST initiative campaign without so much of a whimper, one in which Maclean's labels the initiative, but not the business class' self-serving court action, as "controversial". This is a classic example of the second dimension of power, in which, according to Stephen Lukes, political and cultural institutions develop a "mobilization of bias... in favour of the exploitation of certain kinds of conflict and the suppression of others... some issues are organized in while others are organized out".* In this case, government lies (an essential part of pop culture) and new taxes (which apparently must never happen) become the focus of debate, while the issue of a shifting tax burdens is ignored. Class warfare indeed!

............................

*Lukes, Steven. Power: A Radical View. London: Macmillan Press, 1974.

Posted by Colin Welch at 9:49 AM
Edited on: Thursday, September 02, 2010 11:38 AM
Categories: BC Politics, The Economy